Divination cards influence on economy system

I like the POE economy system and I would like to here your thoughts about the impact of the new Divination cards on economy system.

Of course the true impact highly depends on the developers ("balance its rarity, determine how many you'll need to complete a stack, and assign it to drop in specific locations.") and can only be verefied once the implementation is done. But this will not stop me post this thread! Here are my predictions in the future

1.The price* for Legacy and league only unique item (e.g. poll's devotion) in standard league will be significantly reduced. Because there will be more supply.

2.The price* for expensive rare unique (e.g. shavronne wrapping) item will be cheaper but it depends on the developers.

3.The exchange ratio for top tier currency might be reduced if there is a Divination card for that (e.g. exalted orb worth less chaos). This is also due to the fact that chaos orb might have an increasing demand(consumption) in the future.

However this will also increase the price in 1 and 2 since most of them is now calculated by exalted orb. So I think it probably would end up like this, let's say a shavronne wrapping is 30ex now, it probably would still worth 30ex or slightly cheaper but at the same time exalted orb is cheaper too (e.g. 1ex=20chaos).

In conclusion:
1.Player who has multi legacy unique item should sell them now
2.Player who has a lot exalted orb should either change some of them to chaos or buy something
3.Player who WTB a legacy unique might worth waiting a few weeks
4.Level up Leo

What's your opinion on the impact of the Divination cards on economy system?

ITT: A lot of wild, baseless predictions and someone who cares about Standard's economy like it means anything. Divination cards will make some items easier to get, but that's not going to have an effect on legacies. In temporary leagues, the ex:chaos ratio and the price of an item change as the league progresses and more items are added in; there's no reason to assume that people will just stick with the same EX value for their items.

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Owlert wrote:

ITT: A lot of wild, baseless predictions and someone who cares about Standard's economy like it means anything. Divination cards will make some items easier to get, but that's not going to have an effect on legacies. In temporary leagues, the ex:chaos ratio and the price of an item change as the league progresses and more items are added in; there's no reason to assume that people will just stick with the same EX value for their items.

who cares about legacy stuff and standard economics

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Owlert wrote:

ITT: A lot of wild, baseless predictions and someone who cares about Standard's economy like it means anything.

Welp that didn't take long

They are balanced by rarity and intended to be acquired by mass trading. This system is probably not going to be a currency generator as in, you won't be farming divination cards to get rich. You will probably still be using other methods. But if you're say, self-found, or a league is fresh and the item doesn't exist, or you simply have a lot of time you can waste farming for the item, this system might be beneficial for you.

For example, how do you balance acquiring a Shav's through the divination system? You have to collect 40 "Chaos" divination cards and each of the "Chaos" divination cards has a drop rate equal to an exalted orb. Or let's say you have a 5% chance to get one per boss kill in area 'x' but you need 50 divination cards. So roughly 1,000 boss runs would be needed to acquire a shavs.

This is just my outlook on how the system will realistically be designed and implemented.

I think its a great way to remove the "moving goalposts" problem the economy can occasionally have.

E.g. you save up for a week or two (or more!) for a good item and get maybe halfway to your goal, then something happens in the economy and you are set back to 25% to your goal. This could be fluctuating orb values, changing unique valuations, all sorts of stuff. In these cases, only the currently rich profit from risk-taking and foresight since they're the only ones that can afford the investment.

Now with divination cards, if you see a certain unique as rising in value or orbs decreasing in value, you can invest as you go, making things a whole lot easier for people who are behind in the "race".

I imagine it will curb how expensive super popular uniques can become. Cloak of defiance for example were going for like 6 ex in the recent 1 month hardcore league because the best builds all wanted it. It's not a particularly rare unique, so if there was a way to reliably farm them it would have kept the price more in line with its rarity.

The cards havnt even been released yet. I think you are about 6-8 weeks ahead of yourself. We just have to wait and see.

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Owlert wrote:

ITT: A lot of wild, baseless predictions and someone who cares about Standard's economy like it means anything. Divination cards will make some items easier to get, but that's not going to have an effect on legacies. In temporary leagues, the ex:chaos ratio and the price of an item change as the league progresses and more items are added in; there's no reason to assume that people will just stick with the same EX value for their items.

Takes an inexperienced player to say that standard economy is irrelevant.. Most of this game's population is in standard. You should stop thinking that your personal preferences are universal.