There is a bug or intentional code in POE's random number generator that is causing streakiness.

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mark1030 wrote:

I just flipped a quarter 20 times (really, I did). It's a US 2013 with "Great Basin, Nevada" on the back minted in the "P" mint. I can post a picture if you don't believe me.

The results, in order, were:

THHTT
HTTTT
HTTTH
HHTTT

There must be something wrong with the universe's RNG, because look how streaky that was. I had 4 Tails in a row once, and then after that I had 3 Tails, then 3 Heads, then 3 Tails again. In fact, I had 13 Tails and only 7 Heads. Out of 20 runs! No way can such streakiness be attributed to probability. There must be something behind the scenes to explain it. Maybe the universe wants me to trade my quarter with somebody who has one that favors Heads so everything will even out.

Come on, people. Drop rates are not set for each player and each run individually. They are across all the servers. So if something has a 1 in 10 chance of dropping, and 10 people do 10 runs each at the same time, what are the odds that each person got that drop once? If one person didn't get that drop and another got it twice, is that no longer random?

Ever notice how in groups of people smaller than 365, there are people that share the same birthday?

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Inaniloquent wrote:

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reboticon wrote:

"

mark1030 wrote:

I just flipped a quarter 20 times (really, I did). It's a US 2013 with "Great Basin, Nevada" on the back minted in the "P" mint. I can post a picture if you don't believe me.

The results, in order, were:

THHTT
HTTTT
HTTTH
HHTTT

There must be something wrong with the universe's RNG, because look how streaky that was. I had 4 Tails in a row once, and then after that I had 3 Tails, then 3 Heads, then 3 Tails again. In fact, I had 13 Tails and only 7 Heads. Out of 20 runs! No way can such streakiness be attributed to probability. There must be something behind the scenes to explain it. Maybe the universe wants me to trade my quarter with somebody who has one that favors Heads so everything will even out.

Come on, people. Drop rates are not set for each player and each run individually. They are across all the servers. So if something has a 1 in 10 chance of dropping, and 10 people do 10 runs each at the same time, what are the odds that each person got that drop once? If one person didn't get that drop and another got it twice, is that no longer random?

Ever notice how in groups of people smaller than 365, there are people that share the same birthday?

Did you know that a flipped coin has a slightly greater chance of landing on the face that was face up as you flipped it?

Here's a 31 page dissertation on it. Cuz I'm bored, too.

http://comptop.stanford.edu/u/preprints/heads.pdf

And, yeah, I think we are getting a little "out there" in this discussion, but as all RNG is pseduo RNG and not "true" RNG, it makes sense that their would be some patterns.

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mark1030 wrote:

I just flipped a quarter 20 times (really, I did). It's a US 2013 with "Great Basin, Nevada" on the back minted in the "P" mint. I can post a picture if you don't believe me.

The results, in order, were:

THHTT
HTTTT
HTTTH
HHTTT

There must be something wrong with the universe's RNG, because look how streaky that was. I had 4 Tails in a row once, and then after that I had 3 Tails, then 3 Heads, then 3 Tails again. In fact, I had 13 Tails and only 7 Heads. Out of 20 runs! No way can such streakiness be attributed to probability. There must be something behind the scenes to explain it. Maybe the universe wants me to trade my quarter with somebody who has one that favors Heads so everything will even out.

Come on, people. Drop rates are not set for each player and each run individually. They are across all the servers. So if something has a 1 in 10 chance of dropping, and 10 people do 10 runs each at the same time, what are the odds that each person got that drop once? If one person didn't get that drop and another got it twice, is that no longer random?

Ever notice how in groups of people smaller than 365, there are people that share the same birthday?

"

Inexium wrote:

I have a question, i will be very surprised to hear you ( all of you ) saw the same thing happening, and i hope os.


Did you ever experience when you have been hoarding an orb for a good moment then one day you spend all of them of some of them.
You go killing monsters.. and : The hoarded orb that stoped droping for a moment just start to drop again :o
?

I am very suspicious yet it's not that important to me.

Could that thing affect rng clouds ?

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XDementia wrote:

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Powertrip wrote:

I honestly think that the 'randomness' has a few time based conditions built in. Player has x hours, throw him a bone......

Unless that player is XDementia, in that case make sure he reaches level 82 without seeing a single exalted drop.

I wouldn't be surprised the slightest if the game's RNG was not entirely random (see how slot machines work), but I think there's a wee bit too much tinfoil hatery going on here.

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adghar wrote:

The probability of two RGB linked rares dropping within an hour on its own is already a bit mind-boggling. Combine that with an eternal then an exalt within a few hours? AND the fact that COUNTLESS other people have noted similar streaks?

There is an error in POE's random number generator that is causing streakiness.