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herflik wrote:
1)I 6linked with the prophercy since it came out - so don't tell me how much it costs, I have enough expriance in it. Only in one league it was like 10% higher than 1500 fusings, because the league had high player retention, meaning it had low supply of items. Usualy the price revolves at around 1200 fusings.
2)You obviously don't know how probabilities work.
The values I wrote are without quality and thats how you calculate probability of near quaranteed outcome, which is equal to 99% chance to occour.
To reach it without quality you need to use 7000 fusings or 5400 with 30% quality item.
What you stated is called "expected" value with is 50% chance and is equal to 800 fusings on 30% quality item.
It means that 50% of people will success by the time they use their 800th fusing, but the last few % of population (of the unlucky ones) will need 5400.
Thats why many people don't like current system, because their luck didn't go into "expected" result range.
1) Then the last 10 leagues apparently weren't played by you; they all posted higher Fated connection prices than you mentioned, including the one right now.
2) I believe I said Odds. I'm not interested in calculating the requirement for a guaranteed success, because I know that it doesn't reflect reality at all.
30% is 720.
