Our Event Series Has Ended!
Thanks for the fun events. I enjoyed them all during my holiday time  they all were unique. I couldn't even say which one I enjoyed most: Delve was great but it delve, Atlas Invasion was a blast and fun time and Delirium Everywhere was a nice increase of difficulty.
 
Thanks for the event series, helped me learn a lot more about the game.
Also nice MTX rewards. Thank you.  
thanks doods
 
thank you so much for the events, portals, boxes and prizes!
already waiting for 3.17 

So, I made three level 90 chars in atlas invasion SSF. Since a lot a people played that league, it made sense that I could get zero prizes.
But, in the delirium everywhere event, I made 7 level 80+ chars. There were a total of 8424 level 80+ chars across the 4 league variations. There were a total of 2100 prizes for level 80+ chars. There were a total of 14740 level 70+ chars across the 4 league variations. There were a total of 3000 prizes for level 70+ chars. There were a total of 17996 level 60+ chars across the 4 league variations. There were a total of 3000 prizes for level 60+ chars. Guess what I got? Nothing. According to my calculations, the chances of that happening? First, chances of getting zero level 80 award: {(84242100)/8424}^7 * 100 = 13.437% Second, chances of getting zero level 70 award: {(147403000)/14740}^7 * 100 = 20.333% Third, chances of getting zero level 60 award: {(179963000)/17996}^7 * 100 = 27.899% TLDR, chances of me getting zero award overall is 0.13437*0.20333*0.27899*100 = 0.7622% (less than 1%) My hypothesis is that 1. You GGG don't give a single effort to evenly distribute the prizes. 2. Maybe you select only a few accounts and give them all the prizes. 3. The number of prizes is a fraud. As a result, I am never going to participate in any more of your "events". Thanks for the twitch drops anyway. Last edited by Sielin on Jan 11, 2022, 10:15:42 PM
 
" Pretty sure your math is wrong. You had 7/8,424 of a chance to get a level 80+ prize, drawn 2,100 times. That means you had a 1.745% chance of getting a prize. I mean seriously, think about it: 7 characters mean you had 86% chance to get a prize? That's laughable. Even if every character only got 1 prize, only 25% of characters could get a prize. Support a free Hong Kong. I do not feel obliged to believe that the same God who has endowed us with sense, reason, and intellect has intended us to forgo their use. Galileo Galilei Last edited by Archwizard on Jan 11, 2022, 11:18:18 PM


I put in my level 71 effort for Delirium SSF, but alas, no prizes other than the level 50 consolation prize. Still, I had fun. At first I played a few levels and quit. Then after a few days I was drawn back, wondering how well I could do if I put in some serious effort. In the end, the experience paid off. It was really challenging and I learned quite a bit.
Thanks for the challenge  I look forward to more in the future. 

" Your calculations are waaaay wrong. Alright, have it your way. Your way of drawing 2100 times is a more accurate way of calculation. This case is true if GGG did nothing to evenly distribute the prizes and everything was pure random. Then: For a level 80+ prize, I had 8417/8424 chance to NOT get a prize for one draw. Drawing 2100 times mean I had 17.45% of getting zero prizes. So, 82.55% of getting AT LEAST one level 80+ prize. You could do the same for other level prizes. The results: Chances of getting zero level 70 award: (14733/14740)^3000 * 100 = 24.05% Chances of getting zero level 60 award: (17989/17996)^3000 * 100 = 31.13% So the chances of me getting zero prize in everything is 1.306%. Therefore, chances of me getting AT LEAST one prize is 98.694%. Not that much of a difference there is it? EDIT: LOL Walkiry thanks for your effort anyways! Last edited by Sielin on Jan 12, 2022, 2:02:57 AM
 
" Sigh. The chances of *not* getting a prize on each level 80 draw were 8417/8424. There were 2100 independent draws. So you multiply the chances of not getting a prize each time, 2,100 times. (8417/8424)^2100 = 0.1745, or 17.45% chance of not getting any prize from the 2,100 level 80 draws. Which translates to 82.55% chance of getting at least one prize. (14733/14740)^3000 = 0.2405, or 24.05% chance of not getting one of the 70+ prizes. (17989/17996)^3000 = 0.3113, or 31.13% chance of not getting one of the 60+ prizes. That's assuming the 70+ and 60+ prizes includes everyone above (hence, 80+ has 3 chances at a prize). EDIT: Dammit Sielin, you beat me to the punch LOL Last edited by Walkiry on Jan 12, 2022, 1:52:37 AM
 
Its bad we hve no races for year, and 4 of them 1 by one, so you cant play 1 full event. You need to place better time for this races, beacause they was good! And i would like to play every event more.
Last edited by JahWar on Jan 12, 2022, 2:03:32 AM
