[Math] Probability of entering Beta

ok
GIV MA KEY
Heh, I read that there was 46000 earlier, and now over 50000.

Apparently you can search the forum and put in * for users and see all of them.
Woow:D:D nice:D
I got the same results:
The possibilities of DON'T GET into the beta in the next tick are: 4999/5000 (0.9998). In the next 144 ticks: (0.9998)^144 ~= 0.9716 . So the possibilities of get into the beta are the opposite: 1 - 0.9716 = 0.0284 (2.84%)
Last edited by NoiTaTuM#5470 on Aug 11, 2011, 1:06:14 PM
i like those odds
Nice post man
thats nice to know.
Good post :)
My chances are 0/50 000 for EACH ONE
The thing is that 10 times bigger chance is temporary. It's pretty clear from the name of the thread Chris started: "Forum users are now TEN TIMES more likely to get into Beta for now"
This could change as soon as tomorrow and everybody will have equal chance again.

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