The REAL Beta Numbers Thread

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whiteBoy88 wrote:

The Numbers
I've take each segment of the timeline and broken them down to get a rough calculation on the number of timer invites and friend invites that have been distributed. For short periods of time (less than 2 days), I've calculated to the hour, rounded. For longer periods, I've calculated to the day. Take these with a grain of salt; they are most likely far less than the actual values due to rounding and many unknown variables.

Invites Over Time:

• Aug 10 2am-10pm
  1 invite every 20min for less than 1 hour = 2-3 invites
  19 hours = 1,140 minutes
  1,140min / 5min interval = 228 intervals
  1 invite/interval * 228 intervals = 228 invites
• Aug 10, 10pm - Aug 12, 1:45am
  Timer gets changed from 10-15min at unknown time, average of 12.5min.
  ~28 hours = 1,680 minutes
  1,680min / 12.5min interval = ~134 intervals
  1 invite/interval * 134 intervals = 134 invites
• Aug 12 - Sep 2
  2 invites every 30min
  21 days = 504 hours = 30,240 minutes
  30,240min / 30min interval = 1,008 intervals
  2 invites/interval * 1,008 intervals = 2,016 invites
• Sep 2 - Sep 8
  6 days = 144 hours = 8,640 minutes
  8,640min / 30min intervals = 288 intervals
  1 invite/interval * 288 intervals = 288 invites
• Sep 8 - Sep 26
  Timer gets changed from 25min to 35min to 26min, average of ~30min.
  18 days = 432 hours = 25,920 minutes
  25,920min / 30min interval = ~864 intervals
  1 invite/interval * 864 intervals = 864 invites

Total of estimated timer invites: more than 3,533


Friend Invite Keys:

• Sep 2 - Sep 19
  17 days = 408 hours = 24,480 minutes
  24,480min / 30min interval = 816 intervals
  1 key/interval * 816 intervals = 816 keys
• Sep 19 - Sep 26
  7 days = 168 hours = 10,080 minutes
  10,080min / 30min interval = 336 intervals
  2 keys/interval * 336 intervals = 672 keys

Total of estimated Friend Invite keys: more than 1,488

Total of all estimated invites/keys plus known distributed keys: more than 7,421 possible beta accounts

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Silentplanet wrote:

There are more accounts than this, I can't say how many more but there have been keys distributed otherwise.

(I've received keys myself for promotions amongst other users)

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whiteBoy88 wrote:

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Silentplanet wrote:

There are more accounts than this, I can't say how many more but there have been keys distributed otherwise.

(I've received keys myself for promotions amongst other users)

Yes, I stated in the first post that there have been many keys given out by other methods; I just don't know how many. This is one of the variables that makes my calculations less than the true values, and why I stated all estimated totals as "more than x."