/popcorn - the daily deals and microtransaction thread

So I caved and bought the vampire gloves (look very nice, make up for normal gloves which appear lack-luster in my opinion) and probably wont get the fireplace when you can make one with the stuff from the masters and creativity, so suggesting these five again:

Lavender weapon effect

Crimson weapon effect

Seraph Sword

Hussar Wings

Bandana
Fire Ferrets
I have no access to any of my existing MTX in the 2.0.0 Beta.

I miss my critters. =-[.]-=
=^[.]^= basic (happy/amused) cheetahmoticon: Whiskers/eye/tear-streak/nose/tear-streak/eye/
whiskers =@[.]@= boggled / =>[.]<= annoyed or angry / ='[.]'= concerned / =0[.]o= confuzzled /
=-[.]-= sad or sleepy / =*[.]*= dazzled / =^[.]~= wink / =~[.]^= naughty wink / =9[.]9= rolleyes #FourYearLie
Adder's Claw effect 31% off - 110 points.
IRON MAN
There are 3 cosmetic effects on my buy list.

If I can purchase any one of them on sale, I'll have enough points remaining to grab the last 2 right away.

So I'm curious what my odds are, and how long I should expect to wait before one of the 3 goes on sale.

I counted the total amount of microtransactions in the store via opening each store page in google chrome and searching for "preview", and chrome automatically counts them for you. I added the results from all the pages and there is a total of 213 different microtransactions divided as such:

30 weapon effects
63 armor effects
11 footprint effects
34 alternate skill effects
16 hideout decorations
14 classic effects
11 character effects
26 pet effects
6 Account features // counted these by hand, no "preview" button
2 guild microtransactions // same

I didn't count redundant stuff like the Specials, Most Popular, and Newly Added pages.

So, 3 items out of 213 means I have 1/71 (1.4%) chance every day to get what I want. so 1.4% or 0.014

According to the binomial calculator, if I wait 30 days, there is only a 34.49% that at least 1 of the 3 items goes on sale

After 50 days there is a 50.58% chance of success. Guess I'll have to wait patiently until the Beta ends to have a decent chance of seeing my stuff on sale. Feels like I'm trying to beat the 5 link odds lol.
Page 200. Wow.

Awesome job keeping this thread going, Dreggon.
"Experience is the best teacher,but there's only one seat in his classroom."
Play with honour and show some class - www.theAmazonBasin.com
"
Samwell_Tarly wrote:
math

The microtransactions are chosen manually by GGG, so posting which ones you're specifically looking for has a (small) chance of their reading this and putting it on sale. They do need to make money, as well - super popular stuff like armour goes on sale much more often than dances, which don't go on sale ever.

"
OldeSchool wrote:
Page 200. Wow.

Awesome job keeping this thread going, Dreggon.

Thanks :)
IRON MAN
Lightning Weapon effect 40% off - 160 points.
IRON MAN
Seraph Weapon Effect 38% off - 135 points.
Seraph Weapon effect 38% off - 135 points.

I think somebody was asking for this a week ago? I forget, but if so, congratulations!
IRON MAN
Last edited by Dreggon#7708 on Apr 26, 2015, 4:21:31 AM
Wow, so the GGG Gods do hear our prayers!

There are 2 discounts on at the same time, both were on man_ga's wanted list.

I'll try my luck.

Soul Nexus Clarity: looks amazing, and it goes hand in hand with my Arcane chest piece. In tandem, the 2 soul effects should be a sight to behold.

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