What are the god damn chances?

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potis wrote:
... Is the god damn algorithm based on time of what the hell?

No, it's all rigged controlled by RNGesus. If you haven't crafted gambled... cough... rolled a 6 link yet it's because you are an exiled sinner. You must seek absolution at the temple of RNGesus and be forgiven for your sins that got you exiled to Wraeclast before you are able to get RNGesus to grant your wish for a 6L item.

Most PoE players find better odds at a casino craps table with rolling a 7 or 11 than in Wraeclast trying to roll a 6L on gear. The GGG mad overlords of all things that are wonky in Wraeclast have conspired to keep things this way. I doubt our return to Oriath later this year will change anything. Maybe some kind of personal satisfaction by exacting revenge on the Oriath officials that railroaded me through their kangaroo court system and exiled me to Wraeclast is all I'll get when I return to Oriath and wreak destruction on them but that will be enough for me. With more 1000s of killings in my future I won't be receiving any absolution from RNGesus so no rolling a 6L is in my future. It's no surprise that Greust is bitter toward all exiles because of our destructive ways. The shadow of death follows me everywhere.
"You've got to grind, grind, grind at that grindstone..."
Necessity may be the mother of invention, but poor QoP in PoE is the father of frustration.

The perfect solution to fix Trade Chat:
www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/2247070
I 6link stuff at all times of the day without issue. Fusings are so cheap, 6linking is becoming as trivial as chroming something. P.s you can't get a 6link without using fusings.
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Xavderion wrote:
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CaoMengde wrote:
iam pretty sure its based on time,


This is the correct answer, but not for the reason you think. On a long enough timeline, everything that is possible will eventually happen.


that is the kicker. anything that is possible can happen with a long enough timeline, or should i say, possibly.
however time is not some magic ingredient that makes impossible things possible.
10 chars 75-90 means youve played maybe enough to collect around 1k fusings so on average you've probably only had an 80% chance of having a 6 link at all. I'm SSF and it takes around 1-2 weeks to get enough fusings to use 6 link vorici craft, much less when fuse spamming.
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luyechoob wrote:
10 chars 75-90 means youve played maybe enough to collect around 1k fusings so on average you've probably only had an 80% chance of having a 6 link at all. I'm SSF and it takes around 1-2 weeks to get enough fusings to use 6 link vorici craft, much less when fuse spamming.


So apparently trading doesnt exist..If there is a stupid post, here is one.

And for someone else further above, it wasnt 1 fusing, it was about 150+ fusing dropped before already, it was 1 fusing that moment.
I usually feel I get better result if I gather 100-150 fuses at least before trying each time instead of trying 10 times with 15. Then again sample size for a single player account is far from large enough to conclude anything but RNG :) StreamerRNG however is a well documented fact Kappa
You make a point op. This very evening a buddy and I were finishing maps. I looked online for a 21/20 ele focus and it was like 10 ex so my buddy and I each vaaled a 2020. Within about 30 seconds we both had shiny new 21/20s... I have also had nights were items seem to drop in like pairs, such as unique rings or unique gloves or even currency types, like divines dropping during certain parts of day waaay more often. The more I play the game the more I notice these things. Now if we could just get the drop times...
With huge enough timespan, these things ought to happen, it is not an exception, but totally normal in lets say span of 1000-4000 hours of playtime.

I still highly doubt time, as time intervals have anything to do with pseudorandom distribution of events ingame.

If you really want to test it, get around 2 sets of 10 lvl20 skill gems, all same, if possible.

One friend takes 10 and you take 10. Then over teamspeak/skype or whatever, coordinate that you vaal same skill gems at same time.

If you get same result more than 5 times, I would start being suspicious but this way I simply can't, because there is not enough information/data.
Spreading salt since 2006

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