IS RNG really that BAD?

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Mikrotherion wrote:

Ah, this would indeed be nice. I don't think anyone cares enough about your and my drivel to actually analyse the conversation, if you want to call it that.
Moreover, if anyone did, you might come out the loser.

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YoursTruly86 wrote:

1000 tries = 200 more tries than just 5 tries = higher probability

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YoursTruly86 wrote:

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asmox wrote:

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YoursTruly86 wrote:

If a person uses 1000 chance orbs and gets no headhunter compared to a person using 5 chance orbs and gets a headhunter, does this make sense?

Is there any fairness?

I'm not sure you understand what RNG means.

Fairness is a non-factor.

I am not sure you know the meaning of higher probability means either.

1000 tries = 200 more tries than just 5 tries = higher probability

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hyper_ch wrote:

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YoursTruly86 wrote:

1000 tries = 200 more tries than just 5 tries = higher probability

I fail to comprehend what you want to say here.

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YoursTruly86 wrote:

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hyper_ch wrote:

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YoursTruly86 wrote:

1000 tries = 200 more tries than just 5 tries = higher probability

I fail to comprehend what you want to say here.

You do not need to comprehend it.

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Mikrotherion wrote:

→ 1000 tries = 200 more tries than just 5 tries = higher probability ← This is exactly what many people have tried to explain to you for (p)ages.
However, you seem to think that "higher probability" implies some sort of guaranteed result. Now, statics is really a hard part of maths and I'm far from an expert. One thing that is always important to keep in mind, though, is that there is no such thing as certainty in statistics.
If your chance to find an exalted were 99% you could still, by extremely bad luck, find none in Twilight Strand while another person gets two from the first two enemies they slay.

With lower probabilities, such as the probability to find an exalted orb, the variance gets a lot greater, which is why you, as an individual, feel that RNG is unfair. You a much greater sample size than you playing and some other guy on some chat linking an item to come to any sensible conclusion.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Do you even know what you are saying just like the previous times? How I wish everyone could have read what you said in this entire thread.

That is why by the law of probability, the more you grind which is more time spend in this game , the more deserving you should get the better loot FIRST.


This is what I have been saying ALL ALONG and stop trying to sound as if I don't know it.

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hyper_ch wrote:

Probability is bitch and mostly missunderstood. I'm still amazed how many people can't comprehend the Monty Hall problem.

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Mikrotherion wrote:

The purpose of language is to convey ideas from one person to others. So actually it should be comprehendible, else you might as well have written nothing.