[Math] Probability of entering Beta
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WoW insteresting to see how it's really done, but it is abit hard to believe, I'v never have been much of a mathmetition myself, but it is nice to see the process works, Thanks! =)
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really ? cool !
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Great post dude. Love when math wins over speculation.
Thank you berialSD for the key
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" well its based on 3x as long a counter but with less then 1/3rd the registered players, even with people awarded betas already it should be deceptively close. hc character deaths
1. Squish_This lvl 19 witch 12/15/2011 death by lag 2. DPyeS lvl 13 witch 12/18/2011 death by mega lag 3. i_stab_you lvl 27 duelist death by bloodrage and reflects (current default character) current hc character i_smash_you level 8+ marauder |
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I approve this thread! :)
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love it
didn't have to ask
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Does anyone feel up to redoing the calculations with updated figures? :p I find this quite interesting.
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"Here are some numbers to work with. Without assuming the number of forum users (since we have absolutely no idea), the chance of getting picked by the timer on any interval could be roughly 1/134,000. Closed Beta/Alpha Tester back after a 10-year hiatus.
First in the credits! |
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Thanks to you, I can rest a bit knowing that the chances are slimmer than expected :P
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Gotta start posting then xD
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