[Math] Probability of entering Beta
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math can be quite scary
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nice overview thank you for this!
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Actually it's statistics not "really" math.
But anyway, nice. Unfortunately, it seems my biggest chances will be in December. Hopefully a beta key as Christmas present then, well at least few days before Christmas. :) |
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lol statistics just scare me now i dont know if i can handle another 3 month xD haha
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whats the probablility that someone who posted in this thread gets key next... because they do ;(
hc character deaths
1. Squish_This lvl 19 witch 12/15/2011 death by lag 2. DPyeS lvl 13 witch 12/18/2011 death by mega lag 3. i_stab_you lvl 27 duelist death by bloodrage and reflects (current default character) current hc character i_smash_you level 8+ marauder |
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Is the "forum-poster bonus" to likelihood still valid, or is that really outdated?
It doesn't seem to be on the site anywhere . . . or am I merely quite bad at searching? |
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no It's still active, but because there are more then 10 times non-posters than posters, well the timer is more likely to grab a non-poster. it is just individually we each have a better chance of getting chosen.
When you step on me
I do not shatter I_go_squish |
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" Yeah, I was wondering about this also, but I figure that with the probabilities as low as they are, it is best just not to worry about it much. I will get to play as soon as the game goes live. If a beta key comes to me sooner, then I will start playing earlier and do what I can to help GGG test their game. When you get old, it is important not to raise your blood pressure by worrying so much about things you cannot change :-/ |
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Nice Topic!
But now i'm sad cause i have little chances to get one key haha |
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Keep in mind that this topic is extremely outdated and bases all of the math on assumptions.
Closed Beta/Alpha Tester back after a 10-year hiatus.
First in the credits! |
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