PoE will not die. here's why

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lukaskodlos wrote:

Sorry dude but you are a clown when you think a few thousand people mean game is dying. Ritual and Ultimatum were in quarantine. You can't really do statistics based on numbers of players playing Poe then.

I only agree in one thing and that's the fact that the game lacks new content. But doing statistics in quarantine and post quarantine is plain stupid.

Let's do older leagues then, these are far enough from rona:
day 9 numbers
peak percentage of launch
106410 88.5 % Betrayal (2018)
76666 68.1 % Synthesis
95294 82.3 % Legion
53906 71.9 % Blight
95778 82.5 % Metamorph

Adding for easier comparison:
2021+
123354 78.5 % Ritual
117332 75.5 % Ultimatum
64799 55.7 % Expedition
84671 57.4 % Scourge
83909 52.8 % Archnemesis
79191 60.4 % Sentinel
76428 50.2 % Lake

Notice how even Synthesis, the worst league before Lake, and Blight, a league that clashed with wow classic release, still have much better player retention than post-Expedition leagues?

Again, I'm not saying there's an apocalypse going on, but having significantly fewer players on day 9 of any league from the most recent 5 leagues than the game had at the end of 2018 is not growth.

It's not an apocalypse either, just a downward-trending stagnation.

The trend is really rather clear and undeniable. Just to be clear, I'll reiterate Xyel's point that it's a trend. That doesn't mean PoE will die only that there has been a rather long downward trend. We don't know what the future will hold or even whether or not the same trend is reflected in the GGG income numbers or not.