Trial of Swirling fear
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Hello. Ive reached 91 lvl, found over 9000 trials and still cant find Trial of Swirling Fear. Is it so rare or is it just bug?
Last bumped on Jun 7, 2019, 8:01:56 AM
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You can beg on chat, or zana has dailies that say solve the trial.
You will find it with Zana I'm guessing, that is where I get mine when I am stuck. Or 10 min of chat begging... sometimes the game just wants you to explore all options. I was 92 this league before final ascension and I forget this EVERY league :O I will wear your ghost and you will die twice, against me and for me. That is some cold blooded shit to say... Last edited by GrunkleBob#2230 on Jun 3, 2019, 9:14:56 AM
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It's neither rare, nor a bug. All 6 trials have the same rarity. Please don't "beg in chat", at least not in the next league. People won't magically find it in their maps after you say you need it. They share trials in /global 820 sometimes. You can also ask friends (put it in your status, for example), or buy The Dream Trial prophecy and hope it will be the trial you want.
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If the odds are equal (one in six) and the same each time, it would be effectively impossible to find 9000+ trials and never see a particular one of the six.
It's totally normal to do 10 to 20 trials and still be missing one. The odds are ~ 16% with 10 trials and ~ 2.6% with 20. At 100 random 1/6 trials, the odds of missing one of the six are already one in a million. At thousands, or even hundreds, there would have to be something else going on other than bad luck. Still missing one of the six after 9000 random trials probably wouldn't occur in the age of the universe. :-) Of course, since it happened to you, that just means they aren't random at a pure 1/6 with no other factors. But who knows what else is going on. Last edited by GreyLensman#5323 on Jun 3, 2019, 11:03:39 AM
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RGN man, RGN.......
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Lol...rng still has to follow statistics. 1 in 10^70 is not happening. If it does, then it's not rng any more.
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" OP's highest leveled character is 91. I doubt they've found even 40 trials, much less over 9000. (5/6)^40 is around 1 in 1500. Unlikely, but likely enough that it'll happen to over 100 of PoE's 200,000 players per league, to not get their 6th required trial within their first 40 trials of a league. Last edited by codetaku#0468 on Jun 3, 2019, 1:25:59 PM
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Wait, how did OP manage to find 9000 trials and is still at level 91...?
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I think the point is that he didn't - it just seemed like it to him. As pointed out above, it's not unusual to go 10 or 20, and even a small number of folks may experience 30 or 40 trials before getting all 6.
It sucks to be an outlier. |
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When the lab was first introduced, I obtained 24 keys before getting all 6 trials. Im sure I skipped some burning rage trials. So yeah. Happens.
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