What's the chance of getting a Headhunter

Sitting at 2454 tries so far, farming moneys for more. Anyone else that has tried chancing one, please share how many tries it took you, i wanna know if ~2500 tries is like average, low or high amount (yes, i chance it in Nemesis mod from Zana before someone asks)

You're better off seeing like a flying alligator in the sky with a jetpack on it's back while listening to

Trololo
hoho
hohoooooo

lalalala

No seriously Probably 1/8000+ Some people do it in 200 attempts, Some people do it in 2000. Then finally some people say fuck it It doesn't exist.

Well, the answer is here, start counting: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7dBEkVQkWHU

depends if you stream or not

whit is standard ratio for
chance : ex,
scour : ex?

"

BerMalBerIst1 wrote:

Pretty sure last time I checked it was tree fiddy : tree fiddy

You can also buy 1 for 2 out of 3 busts...

"

SaiyanZ wrote:

Average should be +100ex cost in scours, chances, belts and Nemesis mod. So probably somewhere between 3000 and 4000 belts chanced.

what do you need scours for? with white belts its like 50% cheaper

Numbers

I try to chance my 3rd Headhunter. Here are my numbers:

1st Try: 451 attempts to get a Headhunter
2nd Try: 821 attempts to get a Headhunter
3rd Try: 13857 attempts so far, no Headhunter yet

As you can see I was very lucky during my first two attempts. My 3rd attempt seems to be "a bit" more difficult.

Statistics

If I use the above numbers to make some statistics I can calculate the average amount of chance orbs to get 1 Headhunter:

(451 + 821 + 13857) / (2 successful attempts) = 7430 chance orbs for 1 headhunter

Ofc, this is a very rough estimation based on low number statistics and should therefore not be treated too serious. However, I would be happy to see some more numbers from other fellows on their journey to a headhunter in order to compare it and improve the statistics.

Side Node

- I got like 6 Immortal Flesh
- I got more than 30 worms molt
- I use leather belts from everywhere and not only from a Zana-Nemesis-map
- I do not use scourings
- I found several of the bereks rings and could gain some exalts by selling those

Some (Conspiracy) Questions

- Is there a limit per account or character for chancing an item?
- Has the rate of chancing a headhunter been changed in the last months?
- Why is the headhunter price raising in standard at the moment?

Thx for reading

lets bump this

I started doing this as well, 2K in, nothing...I know average should be like 4-6 but Ive heard some rly bad news recently that GGG basically ninja nerfed it, HH price is rising up, Ive heard about ppl using 20K chances and getting nothing.

Can anyone else chime in? Anyone here who chanced HH in like recent 2 weaks?