Omen of recombination not being lucky? after 0.3.0.c patch

Before the patch:
With Omen of Recombination (which should make the recombination Lucky and effectively double the odds), the expected chance should be around 32–34%.

That matched my earlier tests pretty well: roughly 1 in 3 attempts succeeded.

After the 0.3.0c patch I started noticing REALLY bad luck.
I tracked 100 attempts after 0.3.0c, and here’s what I saw:

Base chance: 15.99%–16.33% from recombining +3 projectile skills and t3 spirit.

With Omen of Recombination: expected result ~32%, so 1 success every 3 attempts, but I only got 13 successes out of 100 recombinations.

Maybe I'm just unlucky? But this seems way off, so I ran a probability check

When calculated, this probability is < 0.01% (roughly 1 in 10,000).

This suggests a really bad rng, or either:

A shadow nerf to Omen of Recombinator after 0.3.0c, or

A bug that prevents the Omen from actually doubling odds anymore.
Last bumped on Sep 29, 2025, 11:21:35 AM
Agreed. I had similar results with 0.7% probability in the long run over all my trials. Something definitely changed.
Can confirm, I also had notably worse recombinations than earlier in the league.

I just had 35 failures at 8% in a row.

It's a 0.29% chance of that happening with the omen active, 5.4% without the omen, or 79% if the omen is bugged and flipped the luck.

Could just be bad RNG, but it feels like such a wild swing. Is there any log to see what numbers were rolled or a way to validate the omen actually being applied (apart from it being consumed).

Any other info from peeps?

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