Five Orbs of Chance, Five Imperial Bows, 3 Lioneye's Glare

"
Drumheller wrote:
According to the community chance orb log, the rate of a unique is about 1 in 250 (0.004% chance). I don't know if that matches the actual code, but it's the only info I've seen so far.

1 in 250 and he hit 3 out of five, that's amazing.


Actually I'm pretty sure its more about 1 in 500 chance.

if it is 1 in 500 chance which is .2%, all you have to do is simply run a binomial distribution to figure out the chance of getting 3 successes out of 5 trials with .02% probability of success.

He had a .00000798% chance of getting 3 lioneye glares out of 5 trials.

In other words, 1 in a 12,531,328 chance.

1 in 12.5 million chance.
IGN- Narutobieber
GUIDES:
Templar Budget Strike build: http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/298433/page/1
Marauder Universal Endgame Skill template: http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/338007
Last edited by Narutobieber#0567 on Mar 25, 2013, 12:36:51 AM
"
Narutobieber wrote:
"
Drumheller wrote:
According to the community chance orb log, the rate of a unique is about 1 in 250 (0.004% chance). I don't know if that matches the actual code, but it's the only info I've seen so far.

1 in 250 and he hit 3 out of five, that's amazing.


Actually I'm pretty sure its more about 1 in 500 chance.

if it is 1 in 500 chance which is .2%, all you have to do is simply run a binomial distribution to figure out the chance of getting 3 successes out of 5 trials with .02% probability of success.

He had a .00000798% chance of getting 3 lioneye glares out of 5 trials.

In other words, 1 in a 12,531,328 chance.

1 in 12.5 million chance.


Thank you!! Only 12,499,912 more times I need to let him know I hate him
Last edited by decompose#1951 on Mar 25, 2013, 12:56:59 AM
Good thing I bought a home lottery ticket during this time. Lets hope the luck migrates to RL.

Let the hate flow through you!
link the lioneyes and ill believe you
.[duplicate]
Last edited by Catacrom#3132 on Mar 25, 2013, 1:17:00 AM
Liar liar pants on fire. ;-)
POE Serenity Prayer: GGG, grant me the serenity to accept the RNG I cannot change,
the courage to challenge any unbalanced content, and the wisdom to avoid the forums.
Mad: "Oh, it's simple and if you insist... I just think you're a dick. That's all."
QFT: 4TRY4C&4NO
If lioneyes are build enablers, and it sure sounds like it, the way they seem to be being found or chanced fairly easily, time to hold off buying one until the price falls. Pity the early people who bought them for 20-30+ exalts, grats to the early sellers.
POE is a constantly evolving game, so expect balance changes, buffs and nerfs STILL!
My friend used 2 fusing to obtain a 6L. I hate him too.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Last edited by WillisTheWillis#5253 on Mar 25, 2013, 5:14:13 AM
Pics or didn't happen :)
"I'm not in this world to live up to your expectations and you're not in this world to live up to mine." - Bruce Lee

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