Twitch Drops

...but you'd still get a notification on twich, no?
I will write something here when I can think of something clever and amusing.
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PyknoR wrote:
...but you'd still get a notification on twich, no?


Im pretty sure you get a PM on Poe website only, but i may be wrong, if somebody that got a drop already could gives us info about that would be great.
I've got 3 drops so far (lowest tier, 2x the same - red eyes) and only got message from PoE website.

Alt Art items as League MTX - When?
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G0rr wrote:
I've got 3 drops so far (lowest tier, 2x the same - red eyes) and only got message from PoE website.



Good to know, thank you mate :).
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mortel wrote:

Backlog for WINNERS... but the issue was are we all even eligible to win?

I much prefer this theory
https://www.reddit.com/r/pathofexile/comments/dx95gx/twitch_drops_its_not_about_the_odds_its_about_not/

I'm starting to believe this is the case, that's why we have people already won multiple times, especially now they double the drop rate, while others still did not get any even they watched the stream from the start.
"A game IS supposed to waste your time but it's not supposed to make you FEEL like you're wasting your time:
It's supposed to make you WANT to waste your time."
"
mortel wrote:
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G0rr wrote:
I've got 3 drops so far (lowest tier, 2x the same - red eyes) and only got message from PoE website.



Good to know, thank you mate :).


Righto ;)
I will write something here when I can think of something clever and amusing.
"
Xavderion wrote:
You know gaming is in a sad state when a developer announces a sequel to a beloved game and the by far longest thread on the official forum is about fucking Twitch drops lmao


I think it's just exciting to get a little bonus gift. I'm totally excited for 3.9 and PoE2.
"
boyandroid wrote:
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mortel wrote:

Backlog for WINNERS... but the issue was are we all even eligible to win?

I much prefer this theory
https://www.reddit.com/r/pathofexile/comments/dx95gx/twitch_drops_its_not_about_the_odds_its_about_not/

I'm starting to believe this is the case, that's why we have people already won multiple times, especially now they double the drop rate, while others still did not get any even they watched the stream from the start.


That would make sense, 12k does seam low.
"
boyandroid wrote:
"
mortel wrote:

Backlog for WINNERS... but the issue was are we all even eligible to win?

I much prefer this theory
https://www.reddit.com/r/pathofexile/comments/dx95gx/twitch_drops_its_not_about_the_odds_its_about_not/

I'm starting to believe this is the case, that's why we have people already won multiple times, especially now they double the drop rate, while others still did not get any even they watched the stream from the start.


Yeah. So, check it out. I got this from ggg on day 1, when i got 0 drops.::


Hi there,

Thank you for the message and I am sorry to hear about this. We have spoken to the relevant team member and unfortunately this appears to be an issue on Twitch's end.

We have asked them to look into it, however I am afraid that at this stage there is nothing else we are able to do. I am sorry for any inconvenience that this may cause.

If you have any other questions or need anything else please let us know.

Kind regards,
KieranS

This is what they sent me today::

Thanks for contacting Support.

I'm truly sorry to hear that you're having some bad luck with your Twitch Drops! We have spoken to the relevant team members regarding this and it appears that Twitch Drops are currently working correctly.

Please note that as mentioned here (https://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/2676838), these drops are random. If your accounts are correctly linked then I'm afraid this appears to simply be a bad case of RNG, unfortunately.

If there's anything else we can assist you with feel free to contact us again.

Kind regards,
Sasha

The story quickly changed, even though they admitted to there being a problem yesterday, today they are pretending it's fine. So, be prepaired to be swept under the rug, unless we get very vocal.
I watched at least 7 hours yesterday and today, so 14 in total and got 0 drops. I was curious about the chance of that happening, so I checked it quickly (calculations in spoiler) and I found that it's about 18%.

So, not entirely unlikely, but pretty unlucky, at least for a single individual. It would be interesting to see the statistics for everyone participating, though, since it would reveal if there was something wrong in the distribution, as many people here seem to think.

Spoiler

the probability of getting no drop in n amount of trials:

P=(1-p)^n

7h makes 84 (7x60/5) chances to win (n=84)

day 1 (p=0.015) -> (1-0.015)^84 = 0.28 -> ~28% chance of getting no drop or 72% chance of getting at least one drop

day 2 (p=0.03) -> (1-0.03)^84 = 0.077 -> ~8% chance of getting no drop or 92% chance of getting at least one drop

average of day 1 and 2 -> (0.077+0.28)/2 = 0.178



Edit: backlog was real, I got 2 delayed items
Last edited by sham_pain#4866 on Nov 17, 2019, 7:31:20 PM

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