Alluring Abyss (mine)

I do like how the rng works, really, I m fucking amused:

37 Mortal Sets
Acuity: 0
Disfavour: 1
Mask: 16
Garbs: 20

In the last 18 runs:
Garbs 12
Masks 6

Any suggestion?
Stop run is a useless one, it's my favourite map so I d like to run it, but I think I cant do anymore with this rating, I'm broken.
:D

"

ForteBraccio wrote:

I do like how the rng works, really, I m fucking amused:

37 Mortal Sets
Acuity: 0
Disfavour: 1
Mask: 16
Garbs: 20

In the last 18 runs:
Garbs 12
Masks 6

Any suggestion?
Stop run is a useless one, it's my favourite map so I d like to run it, but I think I cant do anymore with this rating, I'm broken.
:D

What a disgusting waste of time. Why is the price of mortal sets so high?

37 sets = like 80 exalts?

The guy who did 60 shaper runs at least broke even.

neppph ur getting mad :x

37 isn't exactly a scientifically relevant sample size there professor... The drop rates are weighted. Your results are about as expected (maybe a little on the shitty side, yes).

"

Docbp87 wrote:

37 isn't exactly a scientifically relevant sample size there professor... The drop rates are weighted. Your results are about as expected (maybe a little on the shitty side, yes).

Is the community consensus that Acuity is about 5% drop rate? If so, then original poster had about 6% chance of having no Acuity drops over his 55 runs:

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=binomial+distribution+n+%3D+55+p+%3D+0.05

EDIT: scroll down to "all failures | 5.954%"

EDIT2: I'm procrastinating in class, so I decided to run it for n = 100 (i.e. 100 mortal sets) as well. Turns out chance of all failures is 0.5921% which is still a very possible figure - if OP ran 45 more sets and got zero Acuities still, he would only be about 1 in 169. That is, 1 in 169 people who run 100 mortal sets are expected to get zero Acuity drops.

That's awful... guess you just have to hope you're part of the other 168.

I remember the guy in my guild.. The richest guy in my guild saved and bought i think 50 Sets.. I remember him buying ALL my apex sets so he could work up some of the 50 runs and such. Took him a few days if i remember to get the 50 sets worked up. God only knows how much he spent on sets he didn't make himself buying them but he worked up the 50 sets and one morning started doing them all back to back. In a few hours he finished all 50 runs. (He had an OP build with all mirrored gear the whole 9)

And he was also quite disappointed to not get one single set of gloves either. He pretty much stopped doing uber runs after that. Or at least buying sets to do runs anyway. He only run sets he worked up on his own after that. If im not mistaken he said something about out of well over 200+ runs he had done total since the release of SOTV he only found 2 sets of gloves. So his results sounds alot like the results of OP. This was also a while back i think 1.3 when he was doing this. But i pretty much learned from his exp that unless i happen to make a set myself its almost never worth it to buy an uber set atleast if your looking to make your currency back from the run anyway.

I thought they upped the drop rate on gloves as well with the 4x drop change because i also remember that one streamer dygnity i think is his name running a shit ton of uber runs during Darkshrines and finding like 20+ sets of gloves. Maybe he just had insane RNG. He did run uber ALOT that league. Not only from sets he made which was extremely easy that league because of a darkshrine thing but also running others sets for them. He had so many gloves drop for himself that if he run your sets and they dropped you kept them he didn't even care about them anymore. LOL Guess he just had some insane RNG from hell. But ive never seen a stash tab with so many gloves ever.. still haven't either.

Ok guys, I was talking about the last 3 days, and I mean: 38 runs 1 axe is pretty much disgusting! but if we wanna be fair I gotta say that in the last month I run 95 mortal sets, I failed 2 of them for several stupid reasons, but I dropped 3 disfavour in these 92 fucking runs, no acuity, ça va sans dire :D
In the mainwhile, I run 82 apex and found 4 grief 1 rage and 1 ignorance; 7 shaper and guess what? 7 gloves, so I don't know if I'm cursed or if this is something quite normal.
I have 2 friends that keep posting me every 3-5 runs a new disfavour, so I d like to understand if they are lucky and I'm in a normal dropping wawe, or if their rating is quite normal and, again, I'm cursed :D
I don't know the exact number of my uber runs (std and other leagues), I m pretty much sure that it's close to 500 or ish, I got only 3 acuity, but it's ok(ish), what it seems to me weird is the lack of difavours, I don't wanna get rich with mortal set but at least I d like to pay me the runs, and after the last 38 I feel like my goal is hard to achieve :D