Chanses of the Perfection darkshrine mod succeeds

So i tryed the perfection thing many times now and have got 4 or 5 gems to 20%.
But i have tried very many times.
Is the chances this succeeds 25% if using a rare one hander with 4 mods where one of them is Crit multi?

Since there are 4 mods and if chances of all are the same it should be like 25% chance to get the perfection on a try like this.

Am i correct here or are some darkshrine mods more likely to be picked than others?
The reason i ask is that i have tried very many times and almost every time with a 4 mod rare, so there should be 25% chance but i have been really unlucky or the chanses are not the same for all darkshrine mods to be choosed.


Last bumped on Jan 19, 2017, 4:51:28 AM
It's RNG, your sample size is too small for any conclusions. Do it 10000 times and maybe you'll be able to confirm/deny.

I'm at 4 on 36 right now so no where near 25% (although some items were 5/6 mods so it's normal it's lower but not by this much). I've seen people get 4 on 5 attempts. It's reasonable to assume it is based on number of mods and not a weighted average for each stats.
Yes RNG is RNG.
3 of my sucessful attempts were in a row.
According to my Wolfram Alpha calculations*, assuming equal probability weighting, if you attempted 25 4-mod rares, there is a .08% chance, or 8 in 10,000, that you get zero Perfections.

That means, if we assume 50,000 people play Darkshrine league, then 40 people are expected to have zero Perfections after attempting 25 4-mod rares.

Yeah.

Randomness/statistics is weird.

*If you're unsure where my .08% figure came from, scroll down to the bottom and see probability of "all failures" is 0.07525%
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Last edited by adghar on Nov 10, 2015, 12:08:57 PM
Does the Perfection darkshrine spawn in any of the labyrinths? Does anyone know? Would be a great way to 20% quality corrupted items still
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