Here is why you should always use Vorici

Graphs are pretty correct.

Basically set yourself a number(its usually 150 for me), if you don't get the 6L by then just use Vorici.
Nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent.
inb4 this guy, who made that thread about Vorici being a scumbag, comes here and spits poison on everyone.
Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance.
Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
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Math vs. OP
1/1100 chances =/= 50% of chance to 6L after 1100 fusings, back to school folks

But just realized this would give a ~1/1587 chance, so my bad. Still, maths are right (and this was an epic troll haha).

Ok, so for ppl telling I did things wrong, here is the details :

Assuming a chance =0.06298% per fuse to 6L, if you do (1-0.0006298)^1100 you get ~ 0.5, thus 50% of fail (and on the other hand, 50% of success). To be honest, I did first chose 1100, and then calculated the % chances per fuse. But here is not the point.

Average means that if everyone had 1100 fusing, 50% of the population would success, and 50% would fail. And for the ones who fail, again after 1100, 50% will success, 50% will fail, etc...

What I am trying to say is that vorici would always be the best option if the average was 1100 fusings unless you have a lot of fusings and aiming for a lot of 6L.

For 5L tho, seems that the average is low enough to gamble.
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Last edited by Zybeline2 on Feb 27, 2015, 11:48:00 AM
If you used more accurate numbers it would look less bleak. With 1/1100 chance to 6L, 50% of the population needs at most 763 fuses to 6L.

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