Veiled Orb

In the last league the calculation was 3 Catarinas for 1 Orb.
In this League I've already made 15 Catarinas and no Orb

Has anyone else noticed the change? It was in the patch notes and I didn't see it?
Last bumped on Oct 28, 2024, 12:59:06 PM
Peronally, went around 80-90 Cata's since 3.25 began and only had a single Veiled Orb drop... but inb4 forum brown-nosers put in their two cents saying that loot is fine.
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5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.
Mash the clean
"
Mashgesture wrote:
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.


16 = 0 Orb
"
Andershow6 wrote:
"
Mashgesture wrote:
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.


16 = 0 Orb


That's called probability.
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Let's assume (only GGG knows)
True probability [1 veiled orb drops / 1 Caterina kill] = 1/3 = p

P[0 veiled orb drops / 15 Caterina kills] = p^0*(1-p)^15 (binomial distribution) = 0.00228.

So approximately 2 out of 1000 people would get such a drop rate. And of course only the edge cases will be posted on the forum.

Now let's assume:
True probability [1 veiled orb drops / 1 Caterina kill] = 1/4 = p
P[0 veiled orb drops / 15 Caterina kills] = 0.01336.

That means at least 1 person on 100 people will get 0 orbs after 15 Caterina kills.
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"
Coconutdoggy wrote:
"
Andershow6 wrote:
"
Mashgesture wrote:
5 of 8 and 3 of 5

Drop rates fine.


16 = 0 Orb


That's called probability.


but that's what I'm saying, that the probability has been changed for the worse.

Do you mean to tell me that 17 catarinas and not dropping 1 orb is correct?
Last edited by Andershow6#6259 on Aug 24, 2024, 2:42:50 PM
"
Andershow6 wrote:
https://imgur.com/a/t77jAjE#f27LuB5

Do you mean to tell me that 17 catarinas and not dropping 1 orb is correct?


Yes. For the same reason people can fight 5 Catarinas and drop 5 orbs. That's how RNG without fail-safe works.
"
Scarletsword wrote:
"
Andershow6 wrote:
https://imgur.com/a/t77jAjE#f27LuB5

Do you mean to tell me that 17 catarinas and not dropping 1 orb is correct?


Yes. For the same reason people can fight 5 Catarinas and drop 5 orbs. That's how RNG without fail-safe works.


Do you think how long does it take to make 20 Catarinas?
Do, and see if it's fair.
Last edited by Andershow6#6259 on Aug 24, 2024, 2:52:37 PM

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