Organ drop rarity and distribution

Hey everyone,

Out of curiosity I checked the trade site and these are the current offers:

32730 Hearts 34,94%
28833 Lungs 30,78%
20363 Brains 21,74%
7114 Livers 7,59%
4629 Eyes 4,94%

So obviously eyes and livers are more rare than the others, which is probably no news to anyone.


However, I also checked the current offers for what parts from which monsters are available and it seems that while some bosses can drop every part, most of them are not and several even only drop two.


Here are some examples:

Burtok, Conjurer of Bones's 261 total
Brain 200 76,6%
Eye 14 5,4%
Heart 0 0,0%
Liver 47 18,0%
Lung 0 0,0%

Enticer of Rot's 167 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 24 14,4%
Heart 143 85,6%
Liver 0 0,0%
Lung 0 0,0%

Executioner Bloodwing's 1279 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 11 0,9%
Heart 909 71,1%
Liver 67 5,2%
Lung 292 22,8%

Drought-Maddened Rhoa's 684 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 92 13,5%
Heart 0 0,0%
Liver 0 0,0%
Lung 592 86,5%

Gnar, Eater of Carrion's 991 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 140 14,1%
Heart 853 86,1%
Liver 0 0,0%
Lung 0 0,0%

Queen of the Great Tangle's 587 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 168 28,6%
Heart 0 0,0%
Liver 0 0,0%
Lung 416 70,9%

Tolman, the Exhumer's 196 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 68 34,7%
Heart 0 0,0%
Liver 129 65,8%
Lung 0 0,0%

The Cleansing Light's 1293 total
Brain 317 24,5%
Eye 124 9,6%
Heart 343 26,5%
Liver 186 14,4%
Lung 336 26,0%

Erythrophagia's 939 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 39 4,2%
Heart 750 79,9%
Liver 150 16,0%
Lung 0 0,0%

High Lithomancer's 426 total
Brain 200 46,9%
Eye 0 0,0%
Heart 140 32,9%
Liver 27 6,3%
Lung 53 12,4%

Pirate Treasure's 582 total
Brain 0 0,0%
Eye 40 6,9%
Heart 0 0,0%
Liver 123 21,1%
Lung 419 72,0%


Of course the numbers are somewhat unreliable but I think in general it could provide a basis for target farming certain parts.

Thoughts?
Last bumped on Dec 19, 2019, 7:52:59 PM
thoughts?

eyes are rare for some stupid reason but that's tencentggg dev's making endgame behind RNG to hold players cuz they know no better so far..
"Parade your victories, hide your defeats. Mortals are so insecure."

Poe 0.2/10

Returning to poe in 3.27: ATROCIOUS game performance, 5/10 league and I apprently missed the loot back in the last league. The more things change the more they stay the same..
Illegal organ trading confirmed. FBI open the doarrrrrr!
"
Imperialsirens wrote:
Illegal organ trading confirmed. FBI open the doarrrrrr!


Lol was thinking exactly t same lol
"There is only one true god in PoE and that is Greed... "

I don’t need anger management, I need people to stop pissing me off!
"
Xystre wrote:
thoughts?

eyes are rare for some stupid reason but that's tencentggg dev's making endgame behind RNG to hold players cuz they know no better so far..

You don't need to implement endgame content for your league if you just don't allow players to participate in regular encounters. *taps forehead*
Thoughts? Any time you resort to "obviously" in a discussion, you're on shaky ground.

It might be that popular runs drop less eyes than unpopular ones do... hence we see less of them even though the drop rates would be the same if all other factors were equal. I don't know. But I know that coincidence doesn't imply cause.
For me, no matter the boss, there's always a shortage of brains. Brains just don't want to drop.
Racecourse has always been my favorite map but now it is even better. Three boss organs to choose from <3
"
C4Guy wrote:


Of course the numbers are somewhat unreliable but I think in general it could provide a basis for target farming certain parts.

Thoughts?


No need to go off the trade site data when it's all been datamined, just Google POE organ calculator to see it in action
"You want it to be one way, but it's the other way"
Last edited by MarloStanfield#2928 on Dec 19, 2019, 8:20:54 AM
"
MarloStanfield wrote:
No need to go off the trade site data when it's all been datamined, just Google POE organ calculator to see it in action

Ok, disregarding the fact that this is really overengineered (a simple excel sheet would've been sufficient); It only displays what organs can be found in what map - which is good - but not the probability depending on the boss because it doesn't take into account the actual trade data, only the organ variety in each map.

For example: There are 141 eyes from the Hybrid Widow on sale out of 1180 Hybrid Widow organs in total, so the chance to get an eye seems to be about 12%.

If you look at Tolman, the Exhumer you'll find that there are 81 eyes on sale but 220 organs in total, so the chance to get an eye from Tolman seems to be around 37% (almost three times higher than Hybrid Widow) although both bosses only drop 2 organ types.

If you then look at monsters like Oak the Mighty who can drop all 5, the probability for getting an eye there sinks to a meager 0,6% (only 4 on offer out of 694 Oak the Mighty organs) and not 20% like the tool says.

So at the very least this tool shows misleading information as the percentages can't be right.

Link: https://poeromp.github.io/organ_finder/

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